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Resultaten voor 'barry b hughes'
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Exploring and Shaping International Futures
This Open Access book offers a structured approach to thinking about the future, covering local, global, and cross-sectoral perspectives. It begins by posing three fundamental questions: What futures are normatively desirable? What trajectories do current trends suggest? And how might human agency influence those trajectories? Using the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a reference point, the book examines human, environmental, and sociopolitical development through empirical exploration and long-term scenario analysis. It also explains and supports usage of the International Futures (IFs) system, a powerful tool for scenario building and policy exploration. The chapters cover population, economics, agriculture, energy, the environment, and governance. Each chapter combines forecasts, model insights, and leverage points for change. The final chapter synthesizes these findings by comparing global scenario sets and encouraging critical thinking about alternative futures. Scholars, analysts, and policymakers will find this book appealing. It combines empirical depth with accessible modeling tools. These tools support education, strategic foresight, and informed decision-making.
€ 65,95 -
International Futures
"Fully updated and including an expanded and extensive Windows computer simulation, this unique text/disk combination provides a survey of alternative futures in international relations. By manipulatin"
€ 214,95 -
Reducing Global Poverty
Did you know that global poverty is likely to decline over the next few years even if the global community does not take actions beyond those already under way? But according to the forecasts in this important new book, if we act strategically and purposefully, extreme global poverty could be virtually eliminated by the year 2050.
€ 82,95 -
Building Global Infrastructure
Building Global Infrastructure is the fourth in a series-Patterns of Potential Human Progress-that uses the International Futures simulation model to explore prospects for human development: how development appears to be unfolding globally and locally, how we would like it to evolve, and how better to assure that we move it in desired directions
€ 138,50 -
Building Global Infrastructure
Building Global Infrastructure is the fourth in a series-Patterns of Potential Human Progress-that uses the International Futures simulation model to explore prospects for human development: how development appears to be unfolding globally and locally, how we would like it to evolve, and how better to assure that we move it in desired directions
€ 62,50 -
Advancing Global Education
Education is one of the most fundamental prerequisites to economic growth and social stability in the world
€ 82,95 -
Advancing Global Education
Education is one of the most fundamental prerequisites to economic growth and social stability in the world
€ 73,50 -
Improving Global Health
Uses the International Futures (IFs) simulation model to explore future prospects for the health of peoples across the world.
€ 138,50 -
Improving Global Health
Uses the International Futures (IFs) simulation model to explore future prospects for the health of peoples across the world.
€ 53,95 -
Strengthening Governance Globally
Forecasting the Next 50 YearsStrengthening Governance Globally is the fifth volume in the series 'Patterns of Potential Human Progress'.
€ 180,50 -
International Futures
Building and Using Global ModelsInternational Futures: Building and Using Global Models extensively covers one of the most advanced systems for integrated, long-term, global and large-scale forecasting analysis available today, the International Futures (IFs) system. Key elements of a strong, long-term global forecasting system are described, i.e. the formulations for the driving variables in separate major models and the manner in which these separate models are integrated. The heavy use of algorithmic and rule-based elements and the use of elements of control theory is also explained. Furthermore, the IFs system is compared and contrasted with all other major modeling efforts, also outlining the major benefits of the IFs system. Finally, the book provides suggestions on how the development of forecasting systems might most productively proceed in the coming years.
€ 139,95 -
International Futures
"Fully updated and including an expanded and extensive Windows computer simulation, this unique text/disk combination provides a survey of alternative futures in international relations. By manipulatin"
€ 44,50