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Resultaten voor 'kit yates'
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You Don't Know What You're Missing
We all like to think we're making decisions based on reality, but in fact, we're almost always working from incomplete information. And when 'you don't know what you don't know', it can be impossible to navigate successfully.In You Don't Know What You're Missing mathematician Kit Yates explores the blind spots, gaps in our knowledge and how we make sense of the world given we usually have an unfinished picture. From avoiding common traps and pitfalls to filling in the gaps without guessing, it shows us how to turn our misses into hits.
€ 31,50 -
You Don't Know What You're Missing
We all like to think we're making decisions based on reality, but in fact, we're almost always working from incomplete information. And when 'you don't know what you don't know', it can be impossible to navigate successfully.In You Don't Know What You're Missing mathematician Kit Yates explores the blind spots, gaps in our knowledge and how we make sense of the world given we usually have an unfinished picture. From avoiding common traps and pitfalls to filling in the gaps without guessing, it shows us how to turn our misses into hits.
€ 21,50 -
Wie man vorhersieht, womit keiner rechnet
Wissen, was die Zukunft bringt Ist es wahrscheinlicher, dass man in einer Bäckerei arbeitet, wenn der Nachname Becker lautet?Wie kann man hundertprozentig sicher sein, dass man eine Wette gewinnt?Warum blieben so viele Einwohner von Pompeji an Ort und Stelle, als der Vesuv ausbrach? Seit den Anfängen der menschlichen Zivilisation versuchen wir vorherzusagen, was die Welt für uns bereithält. Genauso lange liegen wir damit aber auch schon falsch. Von religiösen Orakeln über Wettervorhersagen bis hin zur Politik sind wir ständig mit mangelhaften Prognosen konfrontiert. Kit Yates enthüllt die überraschende Wissenschaft, die unseren Vorhersagen zugrunde liegt, und zeigt, wie wir sie zu unserem Vorteil nutzen können. Der Mathematiker erklärt, wie und warum Vorhersagen schiefgehen, wie wir zweifelhafte Prognosen erkennen, und hilft uns, selbst fundiertere Prognosen zu treffen.
€ 24,00 -
How to Expect the Unexpected
€ 31,00 -
How to Expect the Unexpected
A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read...A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?· How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?· Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?· How do you prevent a nuclear war?Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?). For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct.
€ 31,50 -
How to Expect the Unexpected
A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read...A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?· How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?· Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?· How do you prevent a nuclear war?Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?). For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct.
€ 21,50 -
Het grote verschil
Een wereld vol wiskundeVan verjaardagen en geboortecijfers tot onze kijk op het verstrijken van de tijd, van overbevolking en ziekteverspreiding tot bizarre ongevallen: elk aspect van ons leven, van de wieg tot het graf, heeft als fundament de wiskunde. Veel mensen kregen dat al ingeprent op de middelbare school, toch zijn we ons nauwelijks bewust van het grote belang van de wiskunde in ons dagelijks leven: op ons werk en thuis, in de rechtbank en in het ziekenhuis. In dit fascinerende boek vertelt wiskundig bioloog Kit Yates uitzonderlijke verhalen waarbij wiskunde een doorslaggevende rol speelde en in sommige gevallen het verschil maakte tussen leven en dood.
€ 23,50 -
The Math of Life and Death
"Originally published in Great Britain in 2019 by Quercus as 'The maths of life and death"--Title page verso.
€ 25,00